Latest Market Overview 6th Nov: SPX, DXY, BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, SOL, ADA, DOGE, TON

Bitcoin’s (BTC) market price is consolidating near $35,000. Will altcoins capitalise on the sideways price action and move higher?

Bitcoin’s marginal rise of about 1.5% last week suggests that traders are cautious at higher levels, but they are not rushing to the exit. The bears have been in hibernation for the past few days, but if the rally fails to resume, sellers may try to make a comeback.

However, in an uptrend, dips are usually viewed as an opportunity for long-term investors to accumulate. The positive sentiment among traders can be gauged by the increase in Bitcoin withdrawals from exchanges, which reached 61,000 Bitcoin, a substantial improvement over the year-to-date low of nearly 43,000 Bitcoin, according to CryptoSlate analyst Van Straten.

A large part of the accumulation is taking place in Bitcoin market in the hopes that the United States Securities and Exchange Commission will eventually approve a spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund. The traders’ enthusiasm increased on the news that the Hong Kong government may consider proposals for a spot Bitcoin ETF. BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes said on X (formerly Twitter) that the competition between the United States and China is good for Bitcoin.

Are Bitcoin and altcoins ready to extend their up-move, or is it time for a short-term correction? Let’s analyse the charts to find out.

S&P 500 Index (SPX) Market Analysis

The S&P 500 Index has been tearing up for the past few days. The bulls pushed the price above the 20-day exponential moving average (4,275) on Nov. 2 and followed it up a break above the 50-day simple moving average (4,346) on Nov. 3.

The relative strength index (RSI) has risen into the positive territory, and the 20-day EMA has increased. This indicates that the downtrend may be over, but it does not guarantee the start of a new uptrend. The bears are expected to defend the downtrend line fiercely.

In the same way, the market buyers are unlikely to give up their advantage without a fight. They are likely to buy the dips to the 20-day EMA. A strong rebound off this level will increase the possibility of a break above the downtrend line. If bears want to gain the upper hand, they must yank the price back below the 20-day EMA.

U.S. dollar index (DXY) Market Analysis

The U.S. dollar index plunged below the moving averages on Nov. 3, indicating the start of a deeper correction.

The first support on the downside is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of 104.38. If the price rebounds off this level, the index could reach the 20-day EMA. Buyers will have to pierce this resistance to set up a retest of 107.35.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price continues lower and breaks below 104.38, it will signal that the bulls are rushing to the exit. That could open the gates for a further decline to the 50% retracement level of 103.46.

Bitcoin (BTC) Market Analysis

The Bitcoin market has been gradually rising inside the ascending channel pattern. This suggests that the bulls have the edge, but the momentum slows.

The RSI remains inside the overbought territory, indicating that the BTC/USDT pair may extend its consolidation or enter a corrective phase in the next few days. If the price skids below the channel, it may tempt short-term traders to book profits. There is strong support at the 20-day EMA ($33,238), but if this level gives way, the pair may plummet to $31,000

Contrarily, if the price turns up and breaks above the channel, it will suggest the start of the next leg of the uptrend. The pair may then soar to the next major obstacle at $40,000.

Ether (ETH) price analysis

Ether broke above the nearby resistance of $1,885 on Nov. 5, indicating the start of the next leg of the upward journey toward $2,000.

The bears are expected to defend the zone between $2,000 to $2,200 with all their might because if this resistance gives way, it will clear the path for a possible rally to $3,500 as there are no significant resistances in between.

This bullish view will be invalidated soon if the price turns down from the current level and breaks below the 20-day EMA ($1,780). The ETH/USDT pair may tumble toward the 50-day SMA ($1,671).

BNB price analysis

BNB broke and closed above the range’s resistance at $235 on Nov. 4, indicating that demand exceeds supply.

There is a minor resistance at $250, but if buyers bulldoze their way through, the BNB/USDT pair may reach the major hurdle at $265. This level may prove to be a formidable resistance for the bulls to cross

On the downside, the first vital support to watch is $235. If the price dips below this level, it will signal that bears remain active at higher levels. The pair may then slide to the 20-day EMA ($227).

XRP price analysis

XRP broke above the stiff overhead resistance of $0.67 on Nov. 6, indicating that the bulls are in the driver’s seat.

There is a minor resistance at $0.74, but if bulls clear this hurdle, the XRP/USDT pair could rally to $0.85 and subsequently to $1.

A risk to the current up-move is that the RSI has entered overbought territory. This suggests that the rally is overheated in the short term. That could result in a correction or a consolidation for a few days. The critical level to watch on the downside is $0.67. If this level allows, it could start a deeper correction to the 20-day EMA ($0.58).

Solana (SOL) price analysis

Solana bounced off the crucial support of $38.79 on Nov. 3, but the bulls struggled to sustain the higher levels.

The bears will try to build upon their advantage and sink the price below $38.79. If they manage to do that, the SOL/USDT pair could slump to the 20-day EMA ($34.67). This level will likely witness a tough battle between the bulls and the bears.

If the price rebounds off the 20-day EMA, the bulls will again try to drive the price above $42.50 and challenge the stiff resistance at $48. Conversely, if the 20-day EMA cracks, the pair may tumble to $31 and later to $27.12.

Cardano (ADA) price analysis

Cardano has been in a strong recovery for the past few days. The momentum picked up further after buyers pushed the price above $0.30.

The strong rally has pushed the RSI into the overbought zone, suggesting a minor consolidation or correction may be around the corner. If the price stays above $0.32, it will increase the likelihood of a rally to $0.38.

On the contrary, if the price turns down from the current level and breaks below $0.32, it will suggest that traders may be booking profits. That could pull the price down to the 20-day EMA ($0.30). This remains the critical level for the bulls to defend to keep the up-move intact.

Dogecoin (DOGE) price analysis

Dogecoin bounced off the strong support at the 20-day EMA ($0.07) on Feb. 3, indicating a change in sentiment from selling on rallies to buying on dips.

The bulls are trying to maintain the price above $0.07, and if they succeed, the DOGE/USDT pair could pick up momentum and surge to $0.08. This level may pose a substantial challenge, but if cleared, the pair may sprint toward the psychological level of $0.10.

Meanwhile, the bears are likely to have other plans. They will try to stall the up-move and pull the price back below the 20-day EMA. This could clear the path for a potential fall to the $0.06 support.

Toncoin (TON) price analysis

Toncoin has been trading above the moving averages for the past few days, indicating demand at higher levels.

The bulls pushed the price above $2.31 on Nov. 6, but the long wick shows selling at higher levels. If buyers maintain the price above $2.31, it will open the doors for a rise to $2.59. The bears are expected to mount a vigorous defence at this level.

Alternatively, if the price turns down from the current level, the moving averages will likely act as the first line of support. If these give way, the TON/USDT pair could drop to the strong support at $1.89. Such a move will suggest that the pair may oscillate between $1.89 and $2.31 for some time.

Source – Rakesh Upadhyay