Benjamin Cowen: M2 Reveals How Much Bitcoin Outperforms Other Markets
According to a top crypto market analyst, Benjamin Cowen, M2 money supply metric reveals how well Bitcoin (BTC) has performed over the last 10 years in comparison to other major markets like gold and equities.
In a recent video update, the analyst shared with his 711K subscribers on YouTube that when looking into the M2 money supply, gold is trading way below where it was a decade years ago.
M2 is a measure of the U.S. money stock that includes M1 (currency and coins held by the non-bank public, checkable deposits, and travelers’ checks) plus savings deposits (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits under $100,000, and shares in retail money market mutual funds.
“When you account for money supply, gold is nowhere near where it was in 2011. The bull run that you see that gold has been on since 2011, it looks like it’s at the same price, but actually when you account for the money supply, it would need to pump 137% just to get to that same valuation.
When you compare that to Bitcoin divided by M2, you get a very different chart. One that generally increases with time… I have to say gold’s valuation when you account for the money supply looks abysmal, I mean absolutely abysmal.”
According to Cowen, other financial markets, such as the SPDR S&P 500 ETF follows the same trend.
“A lot of charts look like that. For instance, If you go look at SPY divided by the money supply, what do you get? You get something that doesn’t really look that dissimilar
Bitcoin divided by the money supply gives you a completely different story. It generally increases with time. Furthermore, we also can see that when accounting for the money supply, Bitcoin has already tested its 2017 all-time high back in the summer, and it almost tested it back just a few weeks ago.”
Based on M2, gold doesn’t really provide hedge against inflation in the same way that Bitcoin does, the analyst argues.
“If you like gold and you have it in your portfolio, I honestly would expect it to trend up with time, but that doesn’t necessarily mean it’s outperforming inflation. It doesn’t necessarily mean it’s outperforming a lot of other assets, and you probably will have a lot more gray hairs by the time it gets to the valuations that you’re shooting for…
While gold is something that has moved today and it’s moved by about a little less than 2%, in the grand scheme of things, what has it really done? What has it really done except bleed against Bitcoin, not even keep up with inflation… It doesn’t seem like it’s done that great.”
